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-   -   US Open Golf 2013 (https://www.talksportforums.com/showthread.php?t=8785)

Tony2005 June 11th, 2013 16:49

US Open Golf 2013
 
Starts on Thursday from The Merion Golf club in Pennsylvania..


A fairly short course par 70 with both par 5's being on the front nine..


The back is tricky with two 500 yard par 4's including the 18th....


With plenty of rain over the last few days there will be "pick and place" in play for day one at least..


Anywhere off the fairway is in trouble with the first cut being 4"...


So whos going to win this year....?


I will post my 5 to follow tomorrow and look forward to your thoughts on what should be another great 4 days of top golfing action....:scribe:



Tony2005 June 12th, 2013 16:25

So we get under way on Sky at 2pm tomorrow and coverage continues till 11.30pm on the first two days..

Still very wet there so will be an advantage to players who have a good game from 175yds in...

A lot of experts are tipping G MAC but i really dont think this course will suit so leaving well alone..


So for my selections its..

DUSTIN JOHNSON @ 56...Big hitter with a decent short game this course should suit well as for most par 4's he will be going in with wedge or some lofted sand iron...If he keeps the ball straight and the putter is working ...Hes the WINNER.....:t:


HUNTER MAHON @ 66/1 (bet 365)..looks another decent bet to be around come Sunday. Maybe not the winner but with bookies going 1/4 oddds first 6 then he can be backed E/W


CHARL SHWARTZEL @ 40/1 and LOUIS OOUSTHUIZEN @ 60/1...Are another two where a small bet could provided a decent run..


For my TWO big outsiders im going for...

MICHEAL CAMPBELL @ 1000/1 (bet 365) ..Could be a cracking E/W bet ...in the wilderness for a while but showed improved form at the backend of last season and i think he could suprise a few this week

ROBERT GARRIGUS @ 200..Is another who can be backed E/W. Steady player with decent short game could reward..


Anyway lets see how we are going after DAY 2......:t:

taylormade June 12th, 2013 17:10

Paddy power 1/4 odds for 7 places when placing bet by mobile app.

phil mickelson @ 22/1
lee westwood @ 33/1
sergio garcia @ 40/1
henrik stenson @ 70/1
thongchai jaidee @ 200/1

these my 5 selections,rough is 4'' thick just off the fairway,miss the fairways and bogeys beckon,should make interesting viewing,Im having a decent bet on henrik and the others are carrying £5 e/w,also having first round leader bets on them. goodluck all who dare to try and find the winner.

Part-Timer June 12th, 2013 17:36

Up to date statistics if anyone interested.

http://content.usatoday.com/sportsda.../stats/leaders

http://www.europeantour.com/european.../categoryid=2/

Part-Timer June 12th, 2013 17:54

My first 2 I think are very good value, not big hitters but accurate.

Matteo Manassero@ 75

Tim Clark @ 110

3 for interest

Carl Pettersson @ 350

Lucas Glover @ 360

Paul Lawrie @ 590

Tony2005 June 12th, 2013 19:46

I keep backing Westwood but have left him out this time....


Think we all know what happens next.........:frog:

Dobie2089 June 13th, 2013 06:29

Michael Thompson, could be value if getting back to the form he was showing when tying for 8th in the cadillac and taking down the sony open ....a little bit of 192 available on Betdaq.

Also sure to get a good run for your money out of Kuchar @ 25/1

Part-Timer June 13th, 2013 09:45

Where your money goes

http://www.usopen.com/en_US/scoring/index.html

tiredeyes June 13th, 2013 12:27

Quote:

Originally Posted by taylormade (Post 60731)
Paddy power 1/4 odds for 7 places when placing bet by mobile app.

phil mickelson @ 22/1
lee westwood @ 33/1
sergio garcia @ 40/1
henrik stenson @ 70/1
thongchai jaidee @ 200/1

these my 5 selections,rough is 4'' thick just off the fairway,miss the fairways and bogeys beckon,should make interesting viewing,Im having a decent bet on henrik and the others are carrying £5 e/w,also having first round leader bets on them. goodluck all who dare to try and find the winner.


1/4 the odds for 7 places, couldn't you back every runner e/w and come out on top?

58 runners* = £116 for a £1 E/W stake.

Lets see who the top seven are and what our payout would be if we backed them all, at the begining.

* are there only 58 runners?? I just took this off the latest in-play market.

Part-Timer June 13th, 2013 13:24

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiredeyes (Post 60741)
1/4 the odds for 7 places, couldn't you back every runner e/w and come out on top?

58 runners* = £116 for a £1 E/W stake.

Lets see who the top seven are and what our payout would be if we backed them all, at the begining.

* are there only 58 runners?? I just took this off the latest in-play market.

There are 52 groups of 3, 156 entrants in total.

tiredeyes June 13th, 2013 16:55

Quote:

Originally Posted by Part-Timer (Post 60743)
There are 52 groups of 3, 156 entrants in total.

:'D


Ahh well forget it !

bennythedip2 June 14th, 2013 17:59

Update 6 30
 
Luke Donald today avoided making the same mistakes twice to remain well in contention for a first major title in the 113th US Open at Merion.

Luke Donald: Back in action on day two of the US Open
Merion course guideFamous US Open momentsFree £10 US Open betDonald held a one-shot lead over five-time US Open runner-up Phil Mickelson when play was suspended due to darkness yesterday evening following two delays for bad weather totalling more than four hours.

Play resumed at 7:13am this morning and Donald parred the difficult 14th and 15th - holes where Sergio Garcia hit consecutive drives out of bounds to run up a six and an eight respectively - to remain four under.

But the 35-year-old then three-putted the 16th and 18th - he also badly misread a birdie putt on the 17th - to card a two-under par 68 and finish one behind Mickelson.

"There was a complete switch in wind and obviously a big drop in temperature (from yesterday)," said Donald, who has never recorded a top-10 finish in the US Open and last led a major at the 2006 US PGA Championship.

"It meant 14 and 15 are playing long but it sort of made 16 and 18 easier and that's why it's a little disappointing to come off those two holes making bogey, despite hitting the greens."

Around 90 minutes later Donald was back on Merion's East Course to begin his second round and after a par on the 11th, he holed from 20ft for birdie on the 12th and then landed a delicate chip from over the 13th green for another.

He was unable to save par from a plugged lie in a bunker on the 15th, but this time got through the closing holes with three pars to lie three under alongside Mickelson, who was not due out until 3:41pm local time.

Playing partner Lee Westwood had resumed on one under after a double bogey on the 12th yesterday when his third shot to the par-four 12th clattered into one of the wicker baskets used instead of a standard flag and rebounded back off the front of the green.

He bogeyed the 17th on his way to a level-par 70 and then offered a typically sardonic response when asked about the incident.

R&A chief executive Peter Dawson was the rules official with his group and Westwood said: "Peter Dawson has assured me we will be going back to flags for the Open Championship, like normal people."

Westwood felt he was still in a good position but quickly found trouble in the second round, carding four bogeys, a double-bogey and two birdies in his first nine holes to drop to four over par.

That was the same score as world number one Tiger Woods, who had carded an opening 73 and was one over par for eight holes of his second round, while playing partner Rory McIlroy was one under for the same stretch and two over for the tournament.

Woods had winced in apparent pain from his left arm on several shots out of the rough but said: "It is what it is and you move on and I've got to get ready for this next round in a little bit.

"It's one of those golf courses where there's some easy holes and there's some hard holes that follow. You've got to take care of the easy holes and try and get through the hard ones and for some reason I left myself quite a few putts in there where they were easily makeable and I didn't make any."

update btd 8-P

taylormade June 14th, 2013 18:35

Mickelson first round leader brings home the bacon @ 33/1, I think anyone who can shoot par over the coming days will be the winner,dry weather forecast and them greens make Augusta greens look like my lawn. Im going back into the betting jungle with Poulter @ 66/1,Rose @ 22/1.

danny twentyman June 14th, 2013 18:47

jerry Kelly @ 55/1
ew
Bubba Watson @ 66/1
ew

Tony2005 June 14th, 2013 18:48

I doubt anyone will be under par after round 2....

Anyone who is +4 or better and still has to go out for round two has a decent chance..


Im on HUNTER MAHON @ 80/1 and

JOHN HUH @ 100/1

taylormade June 17th, 2013 12:18

very profitable for me and glad to see Rose come thru, I fancied him for a major this year after his early season form in America,should be more comps on courses like merion which prove length isnt only protection against low scores

Tony2005 June 17th, 2013 16:05

Glad to see Rose win as hes been playing well for a few years now....

Bit Gutted Hunter Mahon managed to play the last three holes in FOUR over par including missing from 5ft on the 18th to finish in a tie for 4th which ment the E/W bet was halved....:-C


I backed Duffner E/W at 250 to finish in first four and another half bet but if he didnt tripple the 16th he might just have won....(o)<


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