[themanwiththeknow]

this is a thread for games that are being played that have "stand out" stats and could be worth a bet.............

WATFORD VS BURNLEY

OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.90

watford have played 14 home league games this season and 11 have ended over 2.5 goals with 5 of the 11 ending over 3.5 goals

burnley have played 14 away games with 10 of them ending over 2.5 goals, with 5 of the 10 ending over 3.5 goals

between watfords 14 home games and burnleys 14 away games 21 of the 28 (75%) matches have ended over 2.5 goals


H2H

the last 6 league meetings between these 2 have all been over 2.5 goals with 5 of the 6 being over 3.5 goals

10 of the last 12 bewen the 2 have been over 2.5 goals

bet365 were evens last night, but have come into 10/11, wouldnt be surprised if it dropped some more

4 or more goals is 3.50 which is decent value considering 5 of the last 6 had 4 or more goals and average 4.16 goals a game


PORTSMOUTH VS A VILLA

OVER 3.5 CARDS @ 2.10

villas last 3 visits to fraton park has seen 4 RED CARDS in 3 matches. there has been 5 RED CARDS in the last 7 meetings between the 2 sides and 5 of the last 7 have been over 3.5 cards

the last 3 at fratton park ended cardwise............8 cards, 8 cards and 7 cards

only negative here is that peter walton takes charge and is known to be one of the leagues more leniant refs with just 1 red and 34 yellows in 13 matches this season

you can back over 3 cards on the AH @ 1.775, this way if there is only 3 cards stakes are returned

for those of you unsure how they work out the cards it is as follows..........

yellow = 1 card
red = 3 cards
2 yellows = 3 cards

so we are looking for 4 yellows or 1 red and 1 yellow

MK DONS VS L ORIENT

2-3 GOALS @ 1.90

8 of mk dons 13 home games have ended with 2-3 goals
10 of orients 14 away games have ended 2-3 goals

18 of the 27 matches have ended 2-3 goals