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#1
April 19th, 2008, 10:46
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Arsenal Vs Reading
Sorry - just got in from being dragged sown town with the Mrs and little un!!! Lol
Right Just had a look at my unders overs and note that Ladbrokes are offering the Goal line at 2.5 / 3.0 on this game at 2.04 - This looks like value to me and if you compare Bet365 they are offering the game as 1.65 under 2.5 so I think Laddies may have made a mistake! My info shows Arsenal at home are averaging just 1.6 goals at home over the last 10 games (with only 7 goals in the last 5 games) but only conceeding 0.7 goals per game. Reading have scored 1 goal per game in the last 10, but 4 of those came in the 6-4 game at Tottenham - take that out and they have scored 6 in their last 10. Now I think this game will have goals, but I think it is going to be either 1-1 or poss 2-0 Arsenal. As such I would suggest take Betfairs 2.3 at the moment on under - but lay some off at regular intervals - when a goal is scored the odds will jump back up and reinvest some of your layyed amounts and you should end up with a free bet. Again - as always - not a TIP - but my thoughts on what should I think be in our favour. Regards Lee 
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#2
April 19th, 2008, 11:21
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Now on this one Lee im going to have to disagree here. I think Arsenal could score a few here and also Reading might nick at least one.
Im going overs on this.....3-1 4-0 to Arsenal is my guess.....gl
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#3
April 19th, 2008, 11:29
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No problem and good luck - What I have found with the overs is that the price will drift after kick off
There is not much value in that bet at 1.8 on betfair now, so in these circumstances what I have done in the past is split my bet - So I would take betfairs 1.8 now with 20% of my bet, then put another 20% when it hits 2.0, 20% at 2.5 etc. up too 100%. Now Since it is rare to score 2 goals together very quickly (although not impossible) the price goes down you can lay some, and again have a free bet. Sounds stupid, but I have been caught a few times where I have thought over - its 2-0 at half time and they sit back. By doing it this way if they get the 3rd goal you are up, but if they don't you are not down! Good luck mate Lee
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#4
April 19th, 2008, 12:06
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Reading have 6 changes to there team
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#6
April 19th, 2008, 12:37
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they do - looks like you might be right - but I got on at 2.3 and layed 1/2 at 1.95 and the other 1/2 at 1.75
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#9
April 19th, 2008, 13:40
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Really sorry mate......... looked a certainty at half time.... but I will take a small profit, and 2-0 to boot!
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