themans "stat attack"..........

[themanwiththeknow]

this is a thread for games that are being played that have "stand out" stats and could be worth a bet.............

WATFORD VS BURNLEY

OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 1.90

watford have played 14 home league games this season and 11 have ended over 2.5 goals with 5 of the 11 ending over 3.5 goals

burnley have played 14 away games with 10 of them ending over 2.5 goals, with 5 of the 10 ending over 3.5 goals

between watfords 14 home games and burnleys 14 away games 21 of the 28 (75%) matches have ended over 2.5 goals


H2H

the last 6 league meetings between these 2 have all been over 2.5 goals with 5 of the 6 being over 3.5 goals

10 of the last 12 bewen the 2 have been over 2.5 goals

bet365 were evens last night, but have come into 10/11, wouldnt be surprised if it dropped some more

4 or more goals is 3.50 which is decent value considering 5 of the last 6 had 4 or more goals and average 4.16 goals a game


PORTSMOUTH VS A VILLA

OVER 3.5 CARDS @ 2.10

villas last 3 visits to fraton park has seen 4 RED CARDS in 3 matches. there has been 5 RED CARDS in the last 7 meetings between the 2 sides and 5 of the last 7 have been over 3.5 cards

the last 3 at fratton park ended cardwise............8 cards, 8 cards and 7 cards

only negative here is that peter walton takes charge and is known to be one of the leagues more leniant refs with just 1 red and 34 yellows in 13 matches this season

you can back over 3 cards on the AH @ 1.775, this way if there is only 3 cards stakes are returned

for those of you unsure how they work out the cards it is as follows..........

yellow = 1 card
red = 3 cards
2 yellows = 3 cards

so we are looking for 4 yellows or 1 red and 1 yellow

MK DONS VS L ORIENT

2-3 GOALS @ 1.90

8 of mk dons 13 home games have ended with 2-3 goals
10 of orients 14 away games have ended 2-3 goals

18 of the 27 matches have ended 2-3 goals

[themanwiththeknow]

3 winning bets from 3 (should have been 4 but forget to post one)

WATFORD 3-0 BURNLEY...................lands us winning 10/11 bet

PORTSMOUTH VS VILLA..............once again in this fixture a player sees red making it 5 red cards from the last 4 games between the 2 at fratton park and lands us great 11/10 winning bet

MK DONS 1-2 L ORIENT............ hat-trick completed and a winning 10/11 bet landing the 13/2 treble


one i fotgot to post was sunderland/fulham draw @ ht @ 11/10

all 10 of fulhams away games his season coming into this had been a draw at h/t, 19 of their last 22 prem away games had been a draw at h/t

between sunderlands 11 home games and fulhams 10 away games 15 of those 21 had been a draw at h/t..........

score was 0-0 at ht and 11/10 bet landed

if i didnt forget to post it up would have landed a 14/1 4timer

[themanwiththeknow]

chelsea vs boro 2-3 goals @ 2.00

7 of chelsea 11 home games ended 2-3 goals
9 of boros 11 away games ended 2-3 goals

16 of 22 matches ended 2-3 goals

chievo vs lecce over 2.5 goals @ 2.27

9 of the last 11 betwee nthe 2 have ended over 2.5 goals and the last 5 at chievo all been over 2.5 goals

by no means a banker but nice odds

udinese vs juventus away win @ 1.90

juventus have an incredible record vs udinese with 6 wins and 2 draws in their last 8 away visits.........in those 8 games udinese have scored just 2 goals and failed to score on 6 occasions

juventus have won 14 of the last 17 between the 2 drawing twice so just 7pts dropped from 51 available