Mike Caro 'Deception'

[bennythedip2]

Mike Caro - 'The cruelest deception in poker'

A version of this entry was originally published (2009)

In poker, few things are more deceptive than the concept of deception itself. It’s easy to confuse deception with secrecy. Poker cannot be played without secrecy. It’s a primal force. If your hand weren’t your secret, then there would be no doubt about what you were betting, and intelligent opponents could always make the right decision.

Of course, except on the final round of betting after all cards were known, weaker players might still choose to wager wrongly and to call with the worst of it, hoping to get lucky. But the soul of poker would be missing. No secrets, no soul.

Not the same

Fine. But deception isn’t the same as secret. When you use deception at poker, you’re usually choosing an unusual tactic in an attempt to cause opponents to make bad assumptions and play poorly.

You check and then raise. That’s deception, because you momentarily pretended to be weak in order to trick an opponent into betting. You bluff. That’s deception, because you’re misrepresenting your hand, hoping opponents will fear that it’s stronger than it actually is. Sometime you just call with very strong hands, hoping opponents will do your betting for you. That’s deception. You raise with a flush draw after seeing the flop, hoping to discourage a bet if you miss, thus getting a free chance on the river. That’s deception. You occasionally play weak hands, hoping opponents will notice and think you’re loose. That’s deception.

Today’s lesson

Okay, sophisticated players use deception quite often. So what? Doesn’t everyone know that? Probably. But today’s lesson is very important, and I’ll start if off by saying this: In poker deception isn’t usually a direct means of generating profit. Think of deception as often being an expense, like advertising when you’re trying to build your business. Deception is often a necessary nuisance.

Yes, you can check into overly aggressive opponents and they’ll often bet. That’s the direct-profit side of deception. But when you check just to vary your play so observant opponents won’t find you too predictable, that’s the expense side.

I’m about to share today’s really big secret. Before I do, you need to understand that, in most cases, you’ll make the biggest profit by choosing the obvious straightforward play. That’s why it is the recommended play.

Good reason

Whenever you stray from that first choice, you’d better have a good reason. And that reason must not be simply to deceive. Deception has no value by itself; it must lead to profit. Now here’s the secret: In poker your entire quest should be to play straightforward as much as possible. That’s where the money is — in making the decisions that are the most obvious, assuming you fully understand the situation.


Checking into an opponent who always tries to bluff is a form of deception, but it’s the best straightforward choice. Bluffing into someone who doesn’t call enough is a form of deception, but it too is the best straightforward choice. However, the majority of deceptive tactics require sacrifice, because they aren’t the best straightforward choices. You’re hoping to change an opponent’s mindset and win extra money in the future.

Did you know that just making the most obvious choice can be deceptive? This happens when you’ve conditioned opponents to think you’re tricky. They’re confused and bewildered and are afraid of deception. When this happens, playing a hand in the clearest way becomes your most profitable option. You deceive opponents by doing the obvious.

Cruel

I used to specialize in draw poker. When you had three of a kind before the draw, it was standard practice to draw one card, suggesting to opponents that you were either trying to make a straight or a flush or that you held two pair. You drew one for deception. The cruelest trick in draw poker was to request two cards when you were dealt three of a kind and then bet.

Opponents were put off guard, calling at an astonishing rate, hoping you had just one pair with an ace kicker. By drawing two, you were doing what was obviously the best thing and making the most money without having to sacrifice by acting deceptively. Oddly, you were being deceptive and acting routinely at the same time. In any form of poker, you should always strive for that.

Deception

My advice? Go ahead and use deception if you’re sure you’ll appear looser and that opponents will reward you with bonus calls in the future. Go ahead and use deception by checking strong hands if you think you’ll earn extra money against a particular player by letting him bet before your raise. And go ahead and use deception by doing all sorts of weird stuff, by advertising, by lying — whatever it takes to make more money.

But don’t — that’s don’t with an apostrophe, in case you didn’t hear me right — don’t use deception unless the situation screams for it. Not because it’s been a long time since you did it. Not because you feel inspired. Not because you want to gloat. Not because it’s fun. Never use deception without a clearly profitable motive.

Apt to remember

One big problem is that players are more apt to remember their deceptive plays when they succeed. In fact, it’s hard to measure the value of deception. You’re just guessing. Take the act of bluffing, for example. Bluffing is always deceptive, but it’s difficult to know how well or how poorly you’ve fared.

If you bet a weak hand and your opponent folds, you’ll probably give yourself credit for a successful bluff. But what if your hand would have won the showdown had you checked? If you keep track of the results of your bluffs in that way, you’ll get a distorted notion of the true value. The same is true with any form of deception at poker. While it’s hard to deceive your opponents profitably, it’s easy to deceive yourself about the results.

Never make it your mission to be deceptive. Money materializes while finding inexpensive ways to make deception unnecessary. — MC