sundays football

[themanwiththeknow]

NICE to beat nantes @ 4/5

nice are unbeaten in 6 home games so far this season with 3 wins and 3 draws.

they are unbeaten in their last 6 league games home away with 3 wins and 3 draws

nantes have lost 6 of 7 away league games so far, winning the other.

they have only scored 2 away goals in 7 games failing to score on 5 occassions and have conceded 13 goals in total

they havent won in their last 4 league games with 2 draws and 2 losses

considering the form a home win looks on the cards

nice to win by 1 goal @ 3.30 looks good (5 of nice 6 league wins so far have been by 1 goal)


GRONINGEN to beat de graafschap by 2 or more goals @ 4/5

groningen have a 100% home record with 5 wins from 5 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those 5 games only conceding 1 goal at home so far and scoring a massive 16 goals!

de graafschap are one place off the bottom of the league and have lost 4 of 5 away games drawing the other, they have only scored 2 away goals and conceded 12 in total, they are in awful form losing 6 of their last 7 league games drawing the other

de graafschap g/d away is -10 and groningen home g/d is +15 which is a massive 25 goal difference

de graafschap have lost 7 league games so far and all 7 were by 2 or more goals

groningen have won 6 league games with all 6 being by 2 or more goals and 4 of those 6 by 3 or more goals

so between groningens 6 wins and de graafschap 7 losses all 13 games have had a winning scoreline of 2 or more goals

with groningen only conceding 1 goal all season at home and de graafschap only scoring 2 away all season it should be a comfortable home win

DOUBLE PAYS 9/4

looking for a bigger return you could add........

milan to beat chievo and udinese to beat reggina

4fold pays 9/2


still looking for a bigger return you could AZ alkmar to beat vittesse

5fold pays just under 9/1



nice to beat nantes by 1 goal @ 3.30
siena to beat bologna by 1 goal @ 3.40
udinese to beat reggina by 1 goal @ 3.30
villareal to beat malaga by 1 goal @ 3.60
espanyol to beat numancia by 1 goal @ 3.20
barcelona to beat recreotivo by 1 goal @ 3.30

15 x £1 4folds
6 x £1 5folds
1 x £1 6fold

any 4 pays minimum £114
any 5 pays minimum £1000
all 6 pays just under £6000 for £22 bet
.................................................. .................................................. ................................


udinese to beat reggina by 1 goal @ 3.30
milan to beat chievo by 1 goal @ 3.40
barcelona to beat recreotivo by 1 goal @ 3.30
groningen to beat de graafschap by 1 goal @ 3.75
celtic to beat hamilton by 1 goal @ 3.75
nice ot beat nantes by 1 goal @ 3.30


15 x £1 4folds
6 x £1 5folds
1 x £1 6fold

now the above 6 should all win their matches on sunday and i would say 5 of the 6 definately will



all 6 to win pays an awful 6.19 and £22 on these 6 would return £136

whereas if all 6 win by just a goal i get over £8000, which is a massive difference. even 5 of the 6 will pay nearly £1500

plus if i take all 6 and stake £22 if one doesnt win i lose the £22, whereas 2 of the 6 can lose as long as the other 4 win by 1 goal and still get at least 5.5 times my original stake back



for few examples from the last week or so

man utd 1.25 to beat qpr and 3.75 to win by 1 goal (they won 1-0)
rangers 1.16 to beat st mirren and 4.00 to win by 1 goal (they won 2-1)

£1 on rangers to win by 1 goal would give you £3.00 profit, whereas you would need to back rangers 19 times @ 1.16 before you made £3.00 profit

think its obvious where the better bet is

doing the above double is 14/1 one would give you £14 profit from £1 bet

backing the 2 of them just to win you would need them to both win 31 times before you made £14 profit


rangers and celtic are not the best teams around to do it with as the SPL is piss poor and they normally win by a good few goals

but in a tight league like the premiership there is good value to be had from backing short priced favs just to win by 1 goal

midweek i had man utd to beat qpr by 1, leicester to beat yeovil by 1 and chelsea to beat burnley by 1, this treble paid 47/1

(man utd, chelsea and leicester paid 2.17)

now the bet lost after man utd and leicester both won 1-0 and chelsea drew 1-1

now i dont mind the bet lost as i was getting 47/1 which is far superior to a touch over even money

now if chelsea were to win then it would only have been by 1 goal, if burnley dont score they win 1-0 and if they score the sitter they missed near the end they win 2-1

im hoping one day it all comes together and clicks and get the big payout for a small stake

its not really that hard if you can find the right games, u just have to find winning teams and let the goal margin take care of itself

saturday.........birmingam, wolves, burnley, cardiff, p,boro, hearts and rangers were all strongly fancied to win their games today and all did by a single goal

38 wins today between 4 english leagues and spl and of those 38 wins 21 were by 1 goal

time to stop rambling on now i think

[Tony2005]

There is money to be made from football betting. Now the Italian leagues are nororious for low scoring games or tight games and i think if you persevere with the one goal bet you will hit big...

The other thing with footie betting is we seem to stick to betting our leagues and missing out on better bets around europe...

This is something i will be looking into a bit more deeply...

[themanwiththeknow]

italian league is one of my biggest earners

last week i had 6 winners from 7 games and he only one to let me down was ac milan who conceded in 92nd minute to draw 1-1, as you say generally a tight league serie A because of the style of football italians play

some very good value to be had backing winning by 1 goal, especially inter who will be short priced favs for most games and we all know what mourinho does when he goes 1-0 up

for the last 4-5 years french league games were always low scoring affairs with a massive 74% of games ended under 2.5 goals, and very rarely did a team win by 2 goals

but this season has been totally diferent and abit strange compared to recent years, games are ending 4-4 and 3-3 all over the place, with teams winning 3 and 4-0

[themanwiththeknow]

im probably wrong but both games scream out draw to me

everton have conceded in 5 of 6 home games and m,burgh have conceded in 5 of 6 away games

everton scored in 4 of 6 home games, and m,burgh scored in 5 of 6 away games

SCORE DRAW @ 4.50


hull have conceded in 5 of 6 home games and man city have conceded in 5 of 6 away games

SCORE DRAW @ 4.50


everton 1-1 m,burgh @ 6/1
hull 2-2 man city @ 14/1


3pt singles on score draws
1pt double on score draws
1pt singles on correct scores
1/2 double on correct scores


one score draw shows profit

[Tony2005]

and i think your spot on with two draws....Everton not great at home and Boro just not great...

Hull started well but have faded a bit in the last few weeks and City need about 15 players before they will have any chance of finishing in the top three .....

[themanwiththeknow]

alves @ 8.50
tuncay @ 9.50

1st g/scorer

both 1/2pt

[themanwiththeknow]

everton conceded 1st goal in 4 of 6 home games so far

m,burgh scored 1st in 5 of 6 away games

m,burgh to score 1st @ 7/4 looks a stonker!!

[themanwiththeknow]

........as expected


right was it alves for winning 15/2 bet or was it tuncay for winning 17/2 bet??


















































fecking o'neil.................who the feck is o'neil

[Tony2005]

you were right about the first team to score though...

[themanwiththeknow]

7/2 score draw bet landed

6/1 correct score bet landed


now for the 2-2 for 104/1 double


with that result profit locked in after one game